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State of LLMs: September 16, 2025 — Intelligence Index v3, 80-20-0 Model Picks, and Cost-to-Run Reality
Sep 16, 2025

State of LLMs: September 16, 2025 — Intelligence Index v3, 80-20-0 Model Picks, and Cost-to-Run Reality

Heres the state of LLMs today: Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v3.0 is the scoreboard for September. The market...

OpenAIs seventh Codex is a model: GPT-5-Codex (low/medium/high) lands as the default brain inside Codex
Sep 16, 2025

OpenAIs seventh Codex is a model: GPT-5-Codex (low/medium/high) lands as the default brain inside Codex

OpenAI just shipped another Codex. This time, its the model itself. GPT-5-Codex now powers Codex cloud tasks and...

agentic-coding ai-leaders
ConfidenceBench: Calibrating LLM Confidence, Not Just Accuracy
Sep 15, 2025

ConfidenceBench: Calibrating LLM Confidence, Not Just Accuracy

ConfidenceBench does one job most LLM benchmarks skip: it measures whether a model knows how sure it should...

Jake Paul Invests in CognitionIevin AI: Celebrity Backing Fuels $10B AI Coding Startup
Sep 12, 2025

Jake Paul Invests in CognitionIevin AI: Celebrity Backing Fuels $10B AI Coding Startup

Jake Paul, known for his boxing career and online presence, co-founded Anti Fund and recently invested in Cognition....

ai-leaders celebrity
Mistral AI's €1.7B Funding: Big Money for a Lineup Where Only Small 3.2 Delivers Value
Sep 12, 2025

Mistral AI's €1.7B Funding: Big Money for a Lineup Where Only Small 3.2 Delivers Value

Mistral AI just closed a €1.7 billion Series C round. Led by ASML Holding NV with €1.3 billion...

ai-leaders funding
AI News Roundup: LongCats Benchmark Paradox, IconNETs Practical Gains, Veo3 Price Math, Nanoananas Fast Edits, Mistrals Reality Check, Kreas Realtime Demos
Sep 11, 2025

AI News Roundup: LongCats Benchmark Paradox, IconNETs Practical Gains, Veo3 Price Math, Nanoananas Fast Edits, Mistrals Reality Check, Kreas Realtime Demos

Frontload: the useful bits. Veo3 price cuts change video unit economics today. IconNET makes voice-driven mobile control more...

Qwen3-Next-80B-A3B: Instruct vs Thinking, Cheap But Test Before You Commit
Sep 11, 2025

Qwen3-Next-80B-A3B: Instruct vs Thinking, Cheap But Test Before You Commit

Qwen3-Next-80B-A3B arrives in two clear variants built on the same sparse MoE backbone and long-context stack. The Instruct...

agentic-tasks ai-leaders
xAI's Grok Code Fast 1: I Was Wrong
Sep 10, 2025

xAI's Grok Code Fast 1: I Was Wrong

xAI’s new Grok Code Fast 1, codenamed “Sonic,” burst onto the scene in late August 2025 with big...

agentic-coding agentic-tasks
OpenAI Codex IDE Extension: When AI Coding Meets Confusing Product Names
Sep 10, 2025

OpenAI Codex IDE Extension: When AI Coding Meets Confusing Product Names

OpenAI has dropped their Codex IDE extension for VS Code, and it’s actually impressive. Too bad they gave...

Why Fal.ai Needs a Standardized API Format Like OpenRouter for Image Models
Sep 10, 2025

Why Fal.ai Needs a Standardized API Format Like OpenRouter for Image Models

Fal.ai does not standardize its API format across image models. Developers cannot hot-swap model IDs without rewriting code...

Claude's File Creation and Editing: Turning AI into a Direct Document Tool
Sep 10, 2025

Claude's File Creation and Editing: Turning AI into a Direct Document Tool

Anthropic pushed out Claude’s file creation and editing features quicker than planned, now available on mobile and through...

Seedream 4.0 by ByteDance: 4K Text-to-Image Generation and Editing at Low Cost
Sep 9, 2025

Seedream 4.0 by ByteDance: 4K Text-to-Image Generation and Editing at Low Cost

ByteDance released Seedream 4.0, a text-to-image and image-editing model that outputs up to 4K resolution at 4096×4096 pixels....

ai-leaders bytedance
Stax Launches: Google's New LLM Evaluation Toolkit Ends the Era of 'Vibe Testing'
Sep 8, 2025

Stax Launches: Google's New LLM Evaluation Toolkit Ends the Era of 'Vibe Testing'

Google just dropped Stax, an experimental AI evaluation toolkit, and frankly, it’s about time. For too long, developers...

State of Large Language Models: GPT-5, Claude, Gemini & More: September 2025 AI Benchmark & Cost Analysis
Sep 6, 2025

State of Large Language Models: GPT-5, Claude, Gemini & More: September 2025 AI Benchmark & Cost Analysis

The Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v3 has just dropped. Its a big deal, offering the most rigorous, transparent,...

Sonoma Dusk Alpha & Sonoma Sky Alpha: Exploring xAI's Stealth LLMs with 2M Token Context Windows
Sep 6, 2025

Sonoma Dusk Alpha & Sonoma Sky Alpha: Exploring xAI's Stealth LLMs with 2M Token Context Windows

Sonoma Dusk Alpha and Sonoma Sky Alpha appeared suddenly as two new stealth large language models. Each carries...

2025-09-06 context-window
Is ChatGPT Plus Worth It in 2026? Agent Mode, Codex, and What $20/Month Gets You
Sep 6, 2025

Is ChatGPT Plus Worth It in 2026? Agent Mode, Codex, and What $20/Month Gets You

ChatGPT Plus costs $20/month. In 2026, that includes Agent Mode, Codex access, and advanced reasoning. Here's an honest...

ai-tools chatgpt
Qwen3 Max: Another Benchmark Illusion from Alibaba's LLM Portfolio
Sep 6, 2025

Qwen3 Max: Another Benchmark Illusion from Alibaba's LLM Portfolio

Alibaba’s new Qwen3 Max model is here, and it follows a familiar pattern for their large language models...

benchmark china
Moonshot's Kimi K2.1: The New Fast, Cheap, and Surprisingly Capable Coding Agent Model
Sep 5, 2025

Moonshot's Kimi K2.1: The New Fast, Cheap, and Surprisingly Capable Coding Agent Model

Moonshot just dropped Kimi K2 0905, otherwise known as Kimi K2.1, and it’s a serious step up from...

agentic-coding agentic-tasks
Anthropic's $183 Billion Valuation: Why Complaining About AI Pricing Is Ridiculous
Sep 4, 2025

Anthropic's $183 Billion Valuation: Why Complaining About AI Pricing Is Ridiculous

Anthropic just closed a $13 billion Series F funding round, pushing its valuation to $183 billion. Thats nearly...

anthropic big-number
OpenAI's Realtime API Goes GA: gpt-realtime Arrives, But Is It Really New?
Sep 1, 2025

OpenAI's Realtime API Goes GA: gpt-realtime Arrives, But Is It Really New?

OpenAI has officially launched its Realtime API into general availability, and with it comes gpt-realtime, a new speech-to-speech...

ai-leaders api
OpenAI's Codex IDE Extension: Six Products With The Same Name and Counting
Aug 29, 2025

OpenAI's Codex IDE Extension: Six Products With The Same Name and Counting

OpenAI just dropped their Codex IDE extension for VS Code, and if you’re counting, that makes it the...

OmniHuman-1.5: Dual-System Cognitive Avatars That Actually Understand What They're Saying
Aug 27, 2025

OmniHuman-1.5: Dual-System Cognitive Avatars That Actually Understand What They're Saying

OmniHuman-1.5 represents a solid advancement in avatar animation, building on systems like the original OmniHuman and Wan 2.2...

ai-leaders cognitive-reasoning
Nano Banana is Taking Over: Why Google's Gemini 2.5 Flash Image Model is the Most Broadly Praised AI Tool This Year
Aug 27, 2025

Nano Banana is Taking Over: Why Google's Gemini 2.5 Flash Image Model is the Most Broadly Praised AI Tool This Year

Google just released what might be the most widely adopted AI image model of 2024, and everybody’s calling...

ai-leaders google
Piloting Claude for Chrome: Browser AI Safety Gets Real
Aug 26, 2025

Piloting Claude for Chrome: Browser AI Safety Gets Real

Anthropic just dropped Claude for Chrome, and it’s not another AI wrapper. This is a full browser extension...

AI's New Frontier: Coherence Over Raw Intelligence and The Cost Paradox
Aug 25, 2025

AI's New Frontier: Coherence Over Raw Intelligence and The Cost Paradox

AI progress isn’t just about making smarter models anymore. The real measure of advancement is how much compute...

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HIGHLIGHTS

All Models Are Wrong, But Some Are Useful Jul 9, 2026
Gemini is not fast Oct 2, 2026
Token-Min-Maxing: How To Token-Max Without Cost-Maxing Jun 15, 2026
Open Source Can Never Win May 29, 2026
Christians Must Use AI to Fulfill the Dominion Mandate May 26, 2026

ABOUT ADAM

Based in NC. Classically educated. CTO, founder. Was on BBC. Creator of the fake leaving OpenAI meme. Pareto enjoyer, anti-doomer and anti-utopian.

18 y/o. Christian, CREC. Professional AI nerd. Capitalist, conservative, but thinks tariffs are a bad idea and banning Fable is overreach.

Bullish on OpenAI, Anthropic, AI in general, and especially AI memes.

I'll be poasting whatever I want, but mostly just AI stuff.

Adam Holter
Founder of Ironwood AI.
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